Ah, whistleblowers. I’m 0 for 1 so far, due to the Sal Conte scandal. Let’s see if I can apply the lessons learned to today’s exercise, John Snowden.
Tex, the Daily Bell, and Apocalypse Cometh have proclaimed that Snowden is a psyops plant. Somehow, some faction of the government wanted him to release this information, and set him up for it.
They say that his PR is too smooth, that he is too calm, that he was coached, that he was provided the information and handled to release it, or else in on the whole thing.
Less sophisticated intelligences one may meet in daily life consider him a traitor, scared, a coward, someone in need of killing, an enemy of the USA.
I am going to contradict them all, and say that Snowden is an honest Thal, who is exactly who he says he is, and knows what he knows exactly how he says he knows it, and has gone public for exactly the reasons he says he has.
My error of judgment in the Conte case stemmed from two sources:
1. Not understanding that it is difficult or impossible to distinguish between legitimate nervousness tells and deception tells. If the waters are roiled, it’s hard to know whether a fish or a turtle lurks beneath.
2. Trying to read socket depth without a profile shot, and video lens fisheye.
Fortunately, in this case we can avoid both sources of error. Snowden is quite calm, and only flashes a few significant microtells during his interview. Supporting this, we have some interesting and pretty clean anthropometric and biographical truthfulness tells. Note that biographical honesty tells were completely absent in the Conte case. Note also the massive immediate government reaction to Snowden’s revelations, versus total silence for Conte’s.
Check the video:
The bio is delivered cleanly, without eyebrow raises indicating liar’s surprise, wide eyes indicating liar’s fear, or lip curl indicating liar’s contempt.
We see essentially identical delivery between giving his name and age and giving his work history, except he accesses more for details. The delivery for the most recent job title requires no accessing; previous titles in the middle require deep accessing.
Note that at 1:30 and throughout, you can see the back of his head in the mirror, and he has a major projection out of the back of his skull. This is somewhat exaggerated due to the angle and hair, but is nevertheless a major indicator of occipital honesty compulsion.
Let’s take a look at his other profile pics. Here’s the first one:
![bmljswocaaaqvax (1)]()
This one shows an occipital bulge as well. However, angles play major tricks, and none of these angles are perfect. So I’m not able to determine whether his occipital bulge is above or below the eyeline. Above would be fauxcippital, verging into MT territory. Fully below the eyeline would be deep Thal, well into dysfunctional territory.
I suspect he is probably at the eyeline or slightly above it. Two more profile pics:![edward-snowden-girlfriend-665x385]()
![130061119__421464b]()
As you can see, the last “profile” pic is from such a forward angle it presents a completely different curvature. The sunset pic shows a decent lowslung bulge, although we can’t tell how much his head is turning.
So he has some occipital mass, for sure. And we’ll see later in his bio how that impacted his personality. He’s probably in the same category as Tim Ferriss, Neal Strauss and Ramit Sethi on occipital expression. Here’s a vid for comparison. And yes, FYI I consider all three of those to be quite honest, in the ingenopathic sense.
Back to the Snowden video:
Big nod on “when you see everything”, 1:35. The only tells coming through are congruent and calm.
Downward looks, swallow at “more you’re ignored, more you’re told it’s not a problem.” 1:59 narrowing eyes.
Everything calm about description of NSA activity until “collects them, analyzes them and it STORES them” – eyebrow raise, particular objection to this.
Calm through describing his ability to wiretap anyone, eyebrows only lift on “even the president” which he then qualifies “if I had a personal email”. Lips pressed together in anger after this.
In general, muted, calm body language. Sal Conte managed to hide deception tells behind faux Italian animation, scenery chewing. I’m not calibrated to Italians, but this guy is standard American nerd; that I speak. Well, a very polished, 300k/yr nerd.
Talking at 4:40 about general political views and publicly known treatment of whistleblowers – good baseline opportunity, same gestures with shoulders and eyes as when he’s talking about his own unverifiable info.
7:00 moral speechifying, learned not to evaluate this from Conte. Can be sincere morals even with a false backstory. But it’s obviously sincere morals.
Contempt half-smile flash at mention that #1 enemy of United States is China – he doesn’t agree and proceeds to refute this. 8:21
“The questioning of the choice of Hong Kong” similar gesture group as flashed before when talking about how CIA could come after him, and also seen at least once before.
More speechifying to ignore, except as baselining.
9:50 key point – asked whether he could’ve harmed the US if wanted to. micro flashes of honesty – briefly furrowed brow and quick eye flash up left, with head toss – a micro flash meaning “roll eyes, of course, head toss dismissal”. goes on to describe how badly he could’ve hurt US intelligence operations if he wanted to. This is a key indicator, it can’t be faked. And note this was ASKED by the interviewer, so it is a spontaneously generated, unrehearsed microexpression.
“as we do” 10:11 unconfident gesture cluster, with single shoulder shrug and large eye raise – admitting something kinda shady about US espionage practice. Good baseline for lying there.
More speechifying 11:10. Obviously sincere. After a vehement bit, flashes a pain expression just before the video cuts out at “turnkey tyranny”.
Ok, that’s enough video analysis. We could go back through it again with a fine tooth comb, but there’s no need.
We can see that he’s sincere in his convictions, which rules out the traitor and the plant hypotheses. That just leaves patsy.
But if you engage his text, he says that he came by the info simply from his role as a system administrator, seeing everything by the necessity of his role, and how that bypassed the usual safeguards against someone getting too complete of a picture. Someone has to run the network, even if the network is classified. That casts doubt on the idea that he could’ve been handled – he says he was getting the info firsthand, and says it in a convincingly honest way.
We’re not done yet. Let’s finish the anthropometric and biographical picture. To review: we’ve got some occipital bulge of indeterminate angle, an honest and clear body language transcript, independent corroboration in the panicked government response and cascading scandal generated, which is now even threatening Obama’s position. Next let’s take a look at his frontal pics, and then we’ll dig into his bio.
Here’s the best pic available for socket depth:
![art-353-743602587-300x0]()
I’d call this moderate socket depth. By itself, maybe not enough to make a call. But combined with an occipital, very likely that any deception would be accompanied by major distress tells. Which of course we didn’t see. Contrast that with Sal Conte’s flush eyeballs.
As we can see from frontal pics, there is definitely some brow overhang:
v![libertine2-306b]()
![libertine3-243a]()
![libertine3-3ba6-300x452]()
![libertine3-54f8]()
![729-620x349]()
But note that strong chin. Tim Ferriss has the same thing. This is a social functionality and aggressiveness indicator. It helps balance the occipital and socket depth, and explains why he’s making 200 or 300k /yr, whichever was the correct number.
Note also the long, narrow face – another honesty and logicalizing indicator. And indeed we see someone quite calm, rational, and intelligent. I liken those with the longface and socket depth to Mr. Spock, and we see that here in the unbelievable calmness under pressure he exhibits.
He’s also good looking, with a goodly amount of testosterone – more functionality indicators to compensate for his Thal traits. And lastly, a high vertical forehead suggests processing emphasis on ethical universals, which we certainly see in his rhetoric and decision to sacrifice everything for the greater good.
Ok, now let’s look at the bio. Based on the reading above, we should expect to find a period of early dysfunction and a consistent pattern of introversion, ingenopathy and intellectual activity. Do we see it?
* Biography
“I really am a nice guy,” Snowden wrote on his profile page. “You see, I act arrogant and cruel because I was not hugged enough as a child, and because the public education system turned it’s [sic] wretched, spiked back on me.”
source
Hm, arrogant and cruel doesn’t sound too right. But the dysfunction episode adds up. Maybe he had a chip on his shoulder. That’s common for those who lean TMish. And indeed he did drop out. The only way he got to his current wealthy status was by getting a job as a SECURITY GUARD at the NSA. Security guarding is perfect introvert work. From there he rose on his introvert merits, in technical roles where objective skills were important. And he had the necessary social graces to be functional, outside a Cro Mag heavy environment like high school.
In the earlier postings as an 18-year-old, Snowden wrote on his profile that he liked online role-playing games, or RPG. “I always wanted to write RPG campaigns with my spare time, but I’ll get about three missions in and scrap the world for my next, better, powergamin’ build.”
source
These two quotes together sound sort of TM’ish. Moderate socket depth, big occipital. Let’s keep going.
Snowden said he liked playing the popular fighting video game Tekken. He was so skilled that he attracted a gathering of fans at the 2002 Anime USA convention, a co-worker wrote on another part of the site. “He tends to spontaneously be a ray of sunshine and inspiration. He’s a great listener, and he’s eager to help people improve themselves.”
source
OK, anime, videogaming. Charismatic but introverted nerd, ingenopathy – it’s starting to show. Keep going.
He was an avid gamer. Back in 2003, when Snowden would have been 19, he offered a review of Max Payne 2: The Fall of Max Payne. “Graphically, it’s par for the course,” wrote TheTrueHOOHA. “The storytelling really saves this game. The plot, while very noir and angsty, is exciting with rock-solid pacing. I finished the game in one sitting.”
source
Man loves a good hero story. I like the Max Payne story myself. And that’s some serious focus.
In 2008, TheTrueHOOHA started a thread in Ars forums in which he announced he “had… a vision.” HOOHA continued to give himself a new gamer name:
I woke this morning with a new name. I had had a vision. A dream vision. A vision righteous and true. Before me I saw Gamers, Gamers shrouded in the glory of their true names…
Step forth, and assume your name in the pantheon. It’s always been there, your avatar’s true name. It slips through your subconscious, reveals itself under your posts, and flashed visibly in that moment of unrestrained spite; in the indulgent teabag. You’ve felt it, known it, recognized it.
Now realize it.
I woke this morning with a new name. That name is Wolfking.
Wolfking Awesomefox.
Visions of grandiosity are MT, but those tend to be deadly serious. This is whimsical and has a more TM flavor.
* Too polished? Or just obsessed?
I’ve saved the “too polished” objection for last, because it was raised by the smartest people – Tex Arcane and Bill Powell of Apocalypse Cometh.
Yes, he’s polished. But he’s seen what happens to whistleblowers who AREN’T polished.
This is not a rush job. He’s sitting on the data indefinitely, as system administrator. In fact, the whole project was delayed YEARS by the election of Obama, which he hoped would change things. So he has had time and overtime to think through.
And in the meantime, he’s seen what’s been happening to whistleblowers such as Susan Lindauer (check out her Wikipedia page for what the CIA PREFERS to happen to whistleblowers), Bradley Manning, Julian Assange etc. These people get bent over and fucked hard. He knows this. You better believe he is coming with his A-game. This is the performance of his life, literally.
You don’t make 200-300k/yr in government intelligence agency without being able to communicate. And since he is a member of the intelligence community, so he should at least understand the existence of PR and read some books on media management. That is his only hope of survival, not only for himself, but potentially for protecting his loved ones.
You better believe someone with a big occipital will work overtime protecting loved ones. That is about the only motivation they understand.
And where is the evidence that he has been cogitating on this subject for years? Ars Technica provides:
He also worried about corporations and government actions that could make society less free. In 2010, Snowden responded to a post about a system built by Cisco, meant for government wiretappers, that was found unsafe. He wrote:
It really concerns me how little this sort of corporate behavior bothers those outside of technology circles. Society really seems to have developed an unquestioning obedience towards spooky types.
I wonder, how well would envelopes that became transparent under magical federal candlelight have sold in 1750? 1800? 1850? 1900? 1950? Did we get to where we are today via a slippery slope that was entirely within our control to stop, or was it an relatively instantaneous sea change that sneaked in undetected because of pervasive government secrecy?
And he was worrying about covering his tracks all the way back in 2003:
Alright, I’m familiar with the layman’s version of how remote proxies can be used to make yourself more anonymous. However, while I have a fairly deep understanding of networking, I’ve got some serious holes that need to be filled (without pr0n references) regarding how the different protocols come into play with each other ESPECIALLY when you’ve got a slightly masked IP address.
Fellow Arsians, further my education!
Question 1: Is it possible to reroute -all- traffic through a remote proxy? By all, I mean traffic such as SMTP as opposed to the standard HTTP/FTP/SSH/Socks. How could you go about doing this (Is special software required)?
…
That’s about it for now… Ultimately, my goal is to further my own understanding of what would be logged at any given point during transmission. I wouldn’t want God himself to know where I’ve been, you know?
Collective thanks,
-HOOHA
So what we’re seeing is the masterplan of a master Thal, with tinges of Melon here and there.
Gentlemen, stop doubting. Just sit back and enjoy the Neanderthal fireworks. And we wonder why the Melons tried to kill us off…
![bradley-manning-edward-snowden]()
Family resemblance? Bradley Manning and Edward Snowden
UPDATE
Snowden was absolutely right to pick Hong Kong. The court case will drag on for years while he enjoys exile in the digital capital of the world:
![snowden-extradiction-web]()
“Hong Kong is one of the safest places in the world, certainly the safest major world city. We’re gun free, and there were only 27 murders last year (in a city of 7.4 million), most of them organized crime hits and domestic violence. Murders are so remarkable that they remain in the headlines for weeks. In Hong Kong, the idea that someone might shoot a fugitive spook, John leCarre-style, with a high powered rifle through a hotel room window, or grab him on the street, toss him in a van and spirit him off to the airport for rendition–well, such things are always possible but realistically highly unlikely. We’re a city of islands and peninsulas, surrounded by water, with tightly controlled borders, and the highest ratio of police to citizens in the world.”
“Legal aid. Partly because it is the first haven for mainland Chinese dissidents, and partly because the local democracy movement here uses the courts aggressively for judicial review, to test and challenge government’s actions and policies, Hong Kong has an unusually large cohort of superb and distinguished lawyers specializing in Human Rights and Civil Rights law. Snowden need not worry about his defence; most of these lawyers will be salivating to take on such an important high profile case, pro bono. My guess is that not only has he found his legal advisor, but that he’s staying with him, or her, right now.”